Research

Leave a comment Home Prices and Rent: a rapid price recovery Leave a comment

Home Prices and Rent: a rapid price recovery

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Typically, a good preacher will understand what is causing concern and angst in their community and more broadly, the world. Then she/he will connect this to faith and show how it can provide strength to

Leave a comment What McDonald’s can tell us about the labor shortage Leave a comment

What McDonald’s can tell us about the labor shortage

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The US releases its monthly unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data on Friday. The charts below show the rapid recovery in jobs since the reopening as over 14.7m jobs have been created. Yet, the country

Leave a comment The Big Infrastructure Bills: even larger than you think Leave a comment

The Big Infrastructure Bills: even larger than you think

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For everyone trying to catch a summer break without watching Washington, I wish you best of luck because they are working hard to hammer out an infrastructure deal. This initial $1.2T bipartisan deal will set

Leave a comment EU Carbon Plan and US Infrastructure: tied at the border? Leave a comment

EU Carbon Plan and US Infrastructure: tied at the border?

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Yesterday, the European Union released a sweeping 30-year plan to achieve net zero and reshape the economy. This has broad implications for every EU sector. The plan also has implications for the world including the

Leave a comment Fastest Growing Investable Theme Leave a comment

Fastest Growing Investable Theme

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First, a bit of perspective on ESG. This investable theme is challenging even if one focuses solely on the E for environment or energy. Rating agencies have struggled with metrics to analyze public companies’ efforts

Leave a comment The Manchin Fed Leave a comment

The Manchin Fed

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Let’s do a quick run through two topics impacting the economy and markets. Federal Reserve monetary policy. On Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates and monetary policy unchanged. This was not a surprise. (Statement and Presser)What

Leave a comment Inflation Politics Leave a comment

Inflation Politics

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The inflation story keeps getting legs as more and more companies are citing inflation concerns in their investor calls and interviews. As a matter of fact, The word “inflation” is being mentioned in post-earnings conference

Leave a comment The Biggest Driver of Uncertainty Leave a comment

The Biggest Driver of Uncertainty

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Let’s get to what’s driving the markets, causing stocks to sink, crypto to crater and interest rates to rise: uncertainty over inflation. But it’s not just that, it’s about the reaction to inflation. When will the

Leave a comment Breaking Trust with the Fed on Inflation Leave a comment

Breaking Trust with the Fed on Inflation

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The Fed has made it clear they will tolerate 3%+ inflation for a period of time to make up for the low rates of inflation during 2020. The Fed is likely hoping/guesstimating that slow growth

Leave a comment Did We Just Hit Peak Growth? Leave a comment

Did We Just Hit Peak Growth?

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Today, the US BLS releases its monthly employment data. The expectations were for 950k NFP with some predicting as high as 1.4m new jobs created. The unemployment rate was expected to fall from 6.0% in