For everyone trying to catch a summer break without watching Washington, I wish you best of luck because they are working hard to hammer out an infrastructure deal. This initial $1.2T bipartisan deal will set
Let’s do a quick run through two topics impacting the economy and markets. Federal Reserve monetary policy. On Wednesday, the Fed left interest rates and monetary policy unchanged. This was not a surprise. (Statement and Presser)What
The inflation story keeps getting legs as more and more companies are citing inflation concerns in their investor calls and interviews. As a matter of fact, The word “inflation” is being mentioned in post-earnings conference
Let’s get to what’s driving the markets, causing stocks to sink, crypto to crater and interest rates to rise: uncertainty over inflation. But it’s not just that, it’s about the reaction to inflation. When will the
The Fed has made it clear they will tolerate 3%+ inflation for a period of time to make up for the low rates of inflation during 2020. The Fed is likely hoping/guesstimating that slow growth
Today, the US BLS releases its monthly employment data. The expectations were for 950k NFP with some predicting as high as 1.4m new jobs created. The unemployment rate was expected to fall from 6.0% in
Both the Fed and Biden had big meetings this week. Biden gave a “this-is-not-a-state-of-the-union” state of the union address on part 2 of his “infrastructure” plans. The Fed had a “we’re-not-tapering-and-inflation-is-temporary” meeting on monetary policy.
Star Trek shows us the future! As an economic futurist, I get to go down a lot of research rabbit holes. Sometimes I discover a new bar, like Charlotte's Rabbit Hole. Sometime I discover a new bourbon, like
Why is JPM Jaime Dimon talking about it? Despite the new COVID surge, there is tremendous economic optimism running through the United States right now. Despite the warnings of the CDC and Dr. Anthony Fauci, Americans
Key Take-away and Doing My Best to State the Obvious: For the economy and D.C., a $1.9 trillion spending plan on infrastructure, climate change and housing risks over-heating both the economy and the political environment.