Category: Economy

40 posts
Leave a comment Russia Invades: 10 Potential Outcomes, 3 Bad, 7 Good Leave a comment

Russia Invades: 10 Potential Outcomes, 3 Bad, 7 Good

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The markets reacted strongly to the Russian invasion of the Ukraine on Thursday, with the S&P 500 dropping 94pts at its low.  After President Biden assured action would be taken to mitigate the negative impact

Leave a comment Inflation: higher for longer Leave a comment

Inflation: higher for longer

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Ahead of the FOMC minutes, the markets have shrugged off the inflation news this week as the reduction in the Russia/Ukraine tensions have calmed fears. The shift from tech-above-all-else to revenge-of-the-non-nerds (reopening) has lifted parts

Leave a comment ​​We Need to Talk About Tech Leave a comment

​​We Need to Talk About Tech

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What happens when something goes from infinity to zero? This is what every portfolio manager is trying to understand after the Federal Reserve indicated it would be raising rates in March and beyond. The Fed Fund

Leave a comment How to Screw Up the Economy: Fed Minutes Leave a comment

How to Screw Up the Economy: Fed Minutes

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Key Takeaway: Fed is waking up from its 2021 inflation slumber. Key Question: Will Fed over-react with a combined interest rate hike and balance sheet reduction to damage economy in 2023? Key FOMC minutes stat: “Balance sheet”

Leave a comment Prepare for the Future: top events for 2022! Leave a comment

Prepare for the Future: top events for 2022!

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This year was no doubt an unprecedented one with several rattling events worldwide. Those included the emergence of new COVID-19 strains, the start of vaccination roll outs, major natural disasters around the globe, heightened climate

Leave a comment 22 for 2022: Top Challenges to Ruin Your Sleep Leave a comment

22 for 2022: Top Challenges to Ruin Your Sleep

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Climb a wall of worry? Bah! Here are my top 22 events likely to impact the economy and markets in 2022. No list is complete and neither is this one. Yet, it’ll provide you a framework to

Leave a comment 3 Central Bank Meetings Last Week: all accept current inflation Leave a comment

3 Central Bank Meetings Last Week: all accept current inflation

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Major Central Bank Meetings Last Week Despite the sound global economic recovery and improving outlook, rising inflation levels continue to be a major source of concern and focus for global central banks. According to the International

Leave a comment Q4 DC outlook: unsavory market leftovers Leave a comment

Q4 DC outlook: unsavory market leftovers

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This has been a week of political discovery for the markets and the economy. Three major events occurred. Democrats and Republicans moved to keep the government funded until December 3rd. A House vote attempt on

Leave a comment Supply Chains: why the mess and when will it end? Leave a comment

Supply Chains: why the mess and when will it end?

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“This quarter, and I think we’ll continue to see that a little bit in Q2 and Q3, had some of the most difficult supply chain challenges that we’ve ever experienced in the life of Tesla

Leave a comment What McDonald’s can tell us about the labor shortage Leave a comment

What McDonald’s can tell us about the labor shortage

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The US releases its monthly unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data on Friday. The charts below show the rapid recovery in jobs since the reopening as over 14.7m jobs have been created. Yet, the country