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Thursday / Jun 13, 2019 /

What Trump and the Fed Fear: Negative US GDP

AndyBusch / Uncategorized / 0 Comments

On June 18th and 19th, the FOMC will meet to discuss monetary policy.  Similar to the January 2019 meeting, the members of the FOMC appear to be indicating the Fed’s nervousness over a rapidly slowing economy and their intent to lower interest rates.  As well, President Donald Trump is in Fed attack mode accusing the…

Sunday / Apr 28, 2019 /

2020 Democrat Candidates: 3 big risks

AndyBusch / Blog / 0 Comments

The first 2020 Democratic Presidential debate is less than three months away and we have at least 20 candidates who want to take the stage. What do they need to participate in this first debate? According to the Democrat National Committee, candidates can qualify by meeting one of the two following sets of criteria: Polling…

Thursday / Apr 18, 2019 /

053 Mickey Levy Berenberg Capital: Economic outlook 4 Europe, China and US

RSWorker / Engage, Uncategorized / 0 Comments

Engage has Berenberg Capital’s Chief Economist Mickey Levy to discuss problems in the global economic outlook.  Europe, China and United States all reviewed for key areas and connections.  “Europe’s outlook is pretty dismal for the future.”  What can the ECB to grow the economy?  “The honest answer, there’s really nothing they can do.”

Wednesday / Apr 10, 2019 /

EP052 KEN KUTTNER FED POLICY, QE, INTEREST RATES

RSWorker / Engage, Uncategorized / 0 Comments

This week on Engage, we discuss the biggest, baddest gravitational pull on the markets:  Fed policy.  Williams College Ken Kuttner joins to discuss his paper “Unconventional Monetary Policy.”  Why did the Fed do it, how effective was it and what challenges it presents now.  See www.andrewbusch.com/research/ to get my full research note on the problems…

Sunday / Apr 07, 2019 /

Fed Pause: fear of the next recession

AndyBusch / Blog / 0 Comments

“As always, there is no preset path for policy.  And particularly with muted inflation readings that we’ve seen coming in, we will be patient as we watch to see how the economy evolves.” (1) On January 4, 2019, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell made these comments and ignited a stock market rally that has become…

Thursday / Mar 28, 2019 /

Using Gravity to Frame Uncertainty in the Global Economy, the Markets and Geopolitics

AndyBusch / Blog / 0 Comments

As never before, the global economic landscape appears chaotic and difficult to understand.  The dramatic shift by the Federal Reserve, the US-China trade negotiations, and the use of algorithms/Artificial Intelligence (AI) in trading all drive uncertainty in the global economy, the markets, and geopolitics. Yet, there is a way to frame the chaos to engender…

Thursday / Mar 28, 2019 /

Chicago Mayoral Race: job and growth plans by Lightfoot and Preckwinkle

AndyBusch / Blog / 0 Comments

When Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel stated last fall that he would not be a candidate in the upcoming mayoral election, the political door opened for a wide range of candidates seeking the office and a wider range of policy proposals to address important issues for the city.  As mayor of the 3rd largest city in…

Monday / Mar 25, 2019 /

EP051 FLASHCAST ANDREW BUSCH: FED, TRADE AND TECH

RSWorker / Engage, Uncategorized / 0 Comments

This week on Engage, we do an 8 minute flashcast w/Andy covering Federal Reserve rate policy, US domestic policy and technology.  And we use gravity and planets to explain how these 3 market narratives tug and pull on asset values.

Friday / Mar 15, 2019 /

EP050 Vident Economist Jerry Bowyer: markets, politics and investing

RSWorker / Engage, Uncategorized / 0 Comments

This week on the show, we bring on Vident Financial Chief Economist and editor of Town Hall Jerry Bowyer.  We cover top market narratives driving asset values in the global financial system.  Federal Reserve policy, US trade policy and the 2020 election all covered including how faith plays a role.

Friday / Mar 08, 2019 /

EP049 USDA Deputy Chief Economist Dr. Warren Preston

RSWorker / Engage, Uncategorized / 0 Comments

This week on Engage with Andy Busch, we review the USDA’s 2019 outlook for the farm economy and incomes.  We cover the impact of China’s demand on US agriculture products, US-China trade negotiations and the USMCA.  Interesting point:  off-farm income equally important as on-farm income to sustain US farmers.